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With an Abundance of Poor Advice, Many Stock Traders Do Their Own Research and Make Their Own Decisions
12th November 2016
On www.investing.com, Clement Thibault wrote a dramatic article in attempt to give immediate stock trading advice in the wake of Donald Trump becoming the US president-elect. The article was entitled “What to Buy—And Sell—Now That Trump Has Won the Election” (http://www.investing.com/analysis/what-to-buy—and-sell—now-that-trump-has-won-the-election-200163821). At first, as we read Thibault’s summation of the US presidential election, one would think he would be careful in making immediate hard and fast decisions for stock trading, and then passing on such advice. He called the campaigning rhetoric of Trump ‘overheated and overly hyperbolic’. Thibault even referred to the limited mention of campaign policies of Trump to be ‘tea leaves’. Then he forecasted “that certain sectors, alongside specific companies, stand a better—and for some, worse—chance of benefiting from the new president’s efforts to ‘Make America Great Again’.” Thibault’s specific advice was to buy coal stocks and related energy stocks. Then he said to sell renewable energy stocks. He gave this definite advice even though he wrote “If Trump’s energy-related plans turn out to be more than just stump speech rhetoric, there will indeed be some very clear winners and losers in the sector.” Thibault dogmatically says to sell ‘High-Tech’ stocks. In his opinion, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Netflix will all suffer from a move limiting worker immigration. The writer emphatically says to sell automobile manufacturers’ stock assuming that Trump’s election will mean that the stock will go down more than just a little dip. He surmises that parts and manufacturing will go up in price and in attempt to force some car manufacturers to return to the US and have higher tariffs on all cars manufactured overseas.
Comments: When seeking to give such dramatic advice to buy and sell certain stocks, currencies, and precious metals, financial journalists should have more knowledge of political science and history, besides experience in actually trading. This is knowledge the writer does not seem to have in abundance. The United States political system does not function like it does in Australia, Canada, or in the United Kingdom. The US president is elected distinct from the US Congress; and when the president-elect does not even get a plurality of the popular vote, one should be extra careful of predictions in future US legislation for 2017, its potential affect upon the companies in question and the stock market. It should be remembered that telling people to buy and sell is an attempt to affect the stock market in a dramatic way. First, the campaign rhetoric was as the writer labelled it, ‘overheated’ and quite ‘hyperbolic’. Second, throughout the campaign Trump changed his positions and flopped back and forth on many issues. In the end, no economic policy seemed to be definite for Trump, except for lowering corporation taxes to 20%. Why should anyone sell any tried and proven stock with dividends during the upcoming holiday season with advertising and sales revenue ordinarily quite solid in returns? The time to consider selling such stocks as Alibaba, Amazon, Apple, BMW, Facebook, and Tesla Motors maybe sometime after January 2017; however, some inexperienced trades may sell or set binary options trades as ‘puts’ during this holiday season. What will that do? The stocks may have a temporary downturn or stay down through November and then the mentioned stocks should go up again in early to mid-December. Why not? There is every reason to expect a fine holiday retail sales season. The time wherein such advertising, marketing, and such manufacturing stocks could go down significantly would be in the first and second quarter of the year when bills are debated in Congress. Congress is the legislative branch, wherein the Republicans have the mandate to lead in legislation; and they have the mandate to pass favourable legislation to businesses including lowering corporation taxes, which is definitely expected to be on the agenda. Any concern for high-tech companies in the employment of too many skilled foreign workers, which legislation should not change this, would be easily offset by lowering corporation taxes and less company regulation. As far as trade negotiations and higher tariffs go, such new ideas have to be first debated in Congress; and that branch of government will not be in a hurry to pass legislation to escalate inflation during their term with higher tariffs. What significant part of the electorate wants iPhones, iPads and laptops, as well as new cars, to rise in price 30% to 50% for the US market? What is more important to focus on is the negotiations to lower the corporate tax rates which needs to be lowered eventually to 20% or less; and this will benefit all corporations in the United States: energy companies, high-tech industries, manufacturing, retail sales, etc. Therefore, the time to follow the news of new legislation in Congress is in the first and second quarter of 2017 and not during the holiday sales season; and in 2017, that will be the time not to panic sell, but to watch for bargains in short term and long term binary options trading (calls and puts) and regularly stock trading, buying and selling.
The True Entrepreneur and Time Honoured Principles for Wealth
(22nd June 2016)
Genuine Entrepreneurs, being more than simply business people, are successful business people who advance and protect wealth according to time honoured principles. Here are some principles of time honoured entrepreneurship well worth considering: (1) Self-reliance and Self-employment; (2) Frugality; (3) Quality Investments; (4) Limited or No Debt; (5) Land Investments; (6) Diversification and Asset Protection; and (7) Quality Works of Charity. (1) Self-reliance and self employment are indispensible to a true entrepreneur. Genuine entrepreneurs do not want government, business hand outs nor bail outs. They want opportunities and freedom to advance their business enterprise. Entrepreneurs are not advocates of crony capitalism, using tax payer money. They are committed to self-employment with moral free enterprise, even if a fine employment opportunity came along with wages worth considering. Entrepreneurs would renegotiate to contract work, or only accept the offer as temporary employment, if needed. (2) Entrepreneurs are frugal people and have developed the mindset early on in advancement of their estates. Whilst they want to enjoy the fruits of their business enterprise, they do not want to waste money (i.e., prodigality); and whilst spending on pleasure and holidays will gradually increase with advancing finances, entrepreneurs never forget this fundamental principle, making a clear distinction between essentials and non-essentials. (3) Entrepreneurs believe in quality investments to increase their estate and net worth. They invest in their own business ventures and other profitable businesses. Many invest in the stock market by purchasing quality under-valued business stocks to increase in value and to receive regular dividend returns. Since 2000, short term and long term binary options trading have become an important part of stock trading for profit with regular monthly returns. For genuine entrepreneurs, cars are ordinarily not considered to be an investment, except to promote certain business enterprising with profits. Some business people and motivational speakers may enjoy nice expensive sports cars; but these cars are adult ‘toys’ and are not investments. Many entrepreneurs invest in yachts for business enterprising. As an investment, yachts hold their value and provide safer business and holiday travel with less stress than conventional means of travel. Yacht travel is even rapidly becoming a profitable enterprise, promoting holiday and business travel (4) For entrepreneurs, there is the long time principle of limited debt and preferably no debt. They would have no personal interest in a long term mortgage with a variable interest rate to seemingly purchase property; such purchases essentially result in renting from the bank. Entrepreneurs would view such attempted purchases as a snare and a waste of money. Entrepreneurs would only see the value of a business line of credit for emergency use for business enterprise. Credit cards are a terrible snare, unless they are fully pre-paid and function like a debit card. (5) Entrepreneurs do search out quality land for investment, even business enterprise. Whilst some choose lake and mountain resorts for quality investments, other entrepreneurs have long preferred coastal property for investment. For aspiring entrepreneurs, land can be purchased with gradual building of homes and second homes, without debt. The house can be custom built to hold its value, including profit from holiday rental (6) For entrepreneurs, diversification in business enterprise, investments, and banking is a fundamental principle. Entrepreneurs may have more than one business, bringing in self-employment profits. Investments in the stock market, as liquid assets, provide monthly, quarterly, and yearly returns. Some entrepreneurs even have debit cards through their stock investment company; and finally, money should be held in more than one bank, including individual and family bank accounts, as well as distinct business accounts; and the entrepreneur values precious metals (e.g., Gold and Silver) as estate treasure. Such diversification is part of risk management of liquid assets. There is also the importance of separate legal entities, with business company ownership distinct from personal and family ownership. (7) Genuine entrepreneurs do care about the poor and needy; but would search out and support those who especially want to help themselves and learn to advance their own estates. Many have learned the principle of giving 10% of net profits to works of respectable charities. True entrepreneurs have time honoured and well proven principles.
The monthly ‘Entrepreneur Newsletter’ has more entrepreneur and investment tips, including trading tips.
Entrepreneur Investing, Brexit, and the Stock Market
(6th July 2016)
On Thursday, 23rd June, the UK had its referendum (Brexit) for Britain to vote in or out of the European Union. The British registered voters decided 52% to 48% to leave the union. Around 2 am, the stock market already began to go down. The GBP/USD and GBP/JPY went down to historic low points. Some experienced Asian and Australian stock traders were able to take advantage in trading with the opportunity to surf down (put) with the market for profit. Early in the morning in the UK, some media outlets wrote their usual panicked hysteria articles about the uncertainty in the market, as a result of the ‘Leave’ vote out of the EU. Besides experienced traders in Asia and Australia, by morning GMT, experienced trades in the UK knew what to do. They began bargain hunting in the London Stock exchange from Friday, 24th June through into the two weeks of July. For those who wanted to get into Alphabet Google, Apple, BMW, and Microsoft at a low entry point to hold and have dividends, the opportunity was presented for them. The long term binary options traders began to buy in for calls (up) mid-July expiry; others chose 29th July as the expiry. Short term binary opportunities began presenting themselves in the middle of the week as patterns developed even for GBP/USD and USD/JPY for calls and puts. As Gold and Silver rose because of the temporary uncertainly, they have reached historic highs, preparing for long term trade puts. As crashes have occurred numerous times, the experienced traders simply begin ‘bargain hunting’ in stocks and currencies. Some of the media may complain about how the crash affects hedge funds including Superannuation’s and Individual Retirement funds. The answer is that the quarterly or semi-annual dividends would be affected for a few days in the first period; but then with buying some new stock options, there will be other stocks now paying dividends. The result will be as usual some fluctuations in the full dividend payments to hedge fund accounts at the next payout. Such large temporary movements in the stock market are not times to panic, but times to perform the necessary research and seek to invest for short term or long term profit. Entrepreneurs and experienced traders may have their personal opinions to have voted in or out on such a referendum; but regardless of the results, entrepreneur investors simply do the necessary research and invest going with the flow of investment opportunities. Traders will even research and look for the manufacturing and retail sales shifts which will come about because of the UK departing from the European Union. Political changes should be viewed as creating opportunities. For those who might eventually lose a certain job over the political wind, it is an opportunity for another job or to become self-employed. Instead of referring to these consequences as problems, or even economic recessions, so to speak, these events are challenges and investment opportunities. For aspiring entrepreneurs and intermediate traders, some trading opportunities will be found with profit, some will be missed, but with new experiences. The intermediate trader will have learned regardless; and the long term options and other short term trades with profit will off set any losses. Whilst some people refer to stock market trading as passive income (for example, hedge funds and direct investing for dividends), those who personally trade with a combination stock dividends or binary options and much research on-going call it self-employment. There is part-time self-employment and full-time self-employment for investors in the stock market. Young traders should not follow the inexperienced media writers, who refer to such events as Brexit or Greek banking failures as a mere crises; but they are indeed business opportunities. As always, whether it be the job market reports, political winds, or banking failures, they are simply investment opportunities for entrepreneur investors. Those in the employment market, whether professionals or trades people, can complain about these political or life events; or they can learn to invest to become self-reliant, be paid by commission, and self-employed.
Binary Options Trading Report
Update: 31st March 2017
Summary of last week: 20th March to 24th March 2017
Although not an outstanding week for trading, this past week was one of the best weeks for trading in March or in February. Monday and Wednesday were reasonable days for successful short term trading, with Tuesday being the best day for trading. Gold Futures and the GBP/USD set up several opportunities for short term trading. The GPB/USD is on course for a long term call trading win to finish the end of March.
Week: 27th March to 31st March 2017
Opportunities began earlier for safe put trades. At 11:30 GMT, AUD/USD had a dramatic spike up and set for a put win to end at 12:15. At 13:30 GMT, Gold Futures had a prominent spike up ready for a put win to finish at 14:15. At 14:30 GMT, the USD/CAN was well prepared on the graph for a downward turn beginning at 14:35 GMT; it was a put win if set for 15:15 expiry. Today, the GBP/USD rose above 1.26000; it is well on course for a long term call trade win this week for traders who started one or two trades below 1.21500 in mid-March.
Today, graph trends did not develop until after 13:00 GMT for safe trades. Twitter stock had a spike up at 13:30 GMT and ready for a put win, if set for a 14:30 finish. Also Alibaba stock had a spike up at the same time with expiry set at 14:30 as well for a put win. At 13:30 GMT, the USD/JPY had an unexpected dramatic rise. At 15:45 GMT, the AUD/USD had reached a graph plateau and appeared to be ready for a downturn; if a put trade was set for 16:30, it was a winner.
This day was an average day for trading. At 07:30 GMT, BMW stock had a most prominent spike up and ready for a put win for expiry at 08:30. At 11:15 GMT, the EUR/GBP had a most dramatic plunge down; then at 11:30 GMT, it stopped the plunge to begin a sharp rise up to allow for a call trade to end at 12:00 or 12:30. Then at 13:35 GMT, the AUD/CAN reached its high resistance point and indicating a down turn; if set for a 14:30 expiry was a put trade win. At 18:20 GMT, USD/JPY was on its second high resistance point and ready for a put winning trade to end at 19:00.
After a fine trading week thus far, traders were hoping for trading opportunities that would end the week quite well. The end result was a reasonable day for trading. The AUD/USD reached its high resistance point at 13:00 GMT; it was then ready for a put winning trade to end at 13:45. At 14:05 GMT, the USD/ILS was on its third parallel high resistant point and well prepared for a put win to expire at 15:00. At 14:55 GMT, Facebook stock had reached its high resistance point and ready for a put win to finish at 15:30. At 15:05 GMT, Telsa Motors stock had likewise reached its high resistance point and ready for a put win for expiry at 16:00.
Being the last trading day of the month, experienced traders would consider this Friday a day for very cautious limited trading and perhaps no trading at all.